Scientists: Almanac’s ‘Brutal Winter’ Prediction Is Most Likely Wrong
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Could the Farmer’s Almanac be wrong? At least one expert meteorologist thinks so.
The Almanac, which has just been published, predicts another long, cold winter for much of the United States.
Anthony Artusa is a meteorologist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center in College Park, Maryland.
He tells Live Science that the nearly 200-year-old publication may be mistaken.
“We don’t see anything offhand that would suggest it would be a really brutal winter,” said Artusa.
The almanac bases its predictions on complex weather patterns its forecasters expect to see in the next few months.
But Artusa says he and his fellow meteorologists are not seeing the kind of global activity that would bring about what the Almanac is calling a “record breaking winter.”
U.S. weather is affected by, among other things, the temperatures and currents of the Pacific Ocean. And so far there have not been any huge anomalies that would warrant a prediction of bad weather.
“One of the things that we look for is whether we have an El Nino or La Nina in place,” Artusa said.
NOAA’s own 3-month outlook for this winter will be released in mid-October.
And we won’t know who was more accurate until next Spring.
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