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What Are U.S. Chances of Advancing at World Cup?

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Portugal's Silvestre Varela scores a game-tying goal in the 95th minute, complicating the U.S. chances of advancing at the World Cup. (credit: Christopher Lee/Getty Images)

Portugal’s Silvestre Varela scores a game-tying goal in the 95th minute, complicating the U.S. chances of advancing at the World Cup. (credit: Christopher Lee/Getty Images)

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LANHAM, Md. (CBSDC) — The United States’ chances of advancing to the elimination round of the 2014 World Cup were diminished by Sunday’s heartbreaking 2-2 draw with Portugal.

Entering the contest, the U.S. had greater than a 83 percent chance of moving on, according the number-crunching site sportsclubstats.com.

As it stands now, the odds of Jürgen Klinsmann’s squad advancing stand at 65 percent.

The best scenarios for the U.S. to advance are simple: beat or play to a draw with Germany.

If the U.S. loses, they can still advance but it gets a little more complicated.

They currently have four points in Group G, three greater than Ghana and Portugal. In addition, the U.S. has a +1 goal differential over Ghana and a +4 lead over Portugal.

In layman’s terms, the U.S. can still lose and advance if Ghana and Portugal play to a draw.

The U.S. will be eliminated if Ghana wins and either game is decided by two goals or more.

The U.S. will also be eliminated if Portugal wins and the games cumulatively provide a five-goal swing in favor of Portugal. Meaning, if Portugal wins 3-0 and Germany wins 2-0, Portugal will advance.

Klinsmann has said the U.S. will be playing to win Thursday against Germany, not a draw.

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