Study: U.S. Doctor Demand To Increase By A Third By 2025

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A doctor draws medicine into a syringe. (Credit: BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/GettyImages)

A doctor draws medicine into a syringe. (Credit: BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images)

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WASHINGTON (CBSDC/AP) - The findings of a recent study show that demand for doctors throughout the United States will increase by a third by the year 2025.

A team of researchers at information services firm IHS discovered the trend for a possible increase in the need for neurologists, cardiologists, urologists and other specialists while assessing potential overall future demands for health care and healthcare providers, Reuters reports.

In addition to the aging nature of the American populace – which accounted for the majority of the predicted uptick – access to health care granted to more citizens by the Affordable Care Act will also play a role in increased demand, researchers found.

The United States Census Bureau is forecasting a 9.5-percent increase in population between now and 2025, while the Congressional Budget Office estimates that 28 million more people will have some form of medical coverage by 2023, Reuters learned.

A computer model was used by the team at IHS to approximate the amount of demand for health care in the future based on these factors, leading them to the conclusion that doctor demand will significantly increase in the coming years.

Now, however, is when Americans are starting to figure out that President Barack Obama’s health care law goes beyond political talk, and really does affect them and people they know.

With a cranky federal website complicating access to new coverage and some consumers being notified their existing plans are going away, the potential for winners and losers is creating anxiety and confusion.

A poll just out from the nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation documents shifts in the country in the month since insurance sign-ups began.

Fifty-five percent now say they have enough information to understand the law’s impact on their family, up 8 percentage points in just one month. Part of the reason is that advertising about how to get coverage is beginning to register.

“The law is getting more and more real for people,” said Drew Altman, the foundation’s president. “A lot of this will turn on whether there’s a perception that there have been more winners than losers. … It’s not whether an expert thinks something is a better insurance policy, it’s whether people perceive it that way.”

The administration is continuing its efforts to influence those perceptions. On Wednesday, Obama will meet with volunteers in Dallas who are helping people enroll in health insurance plans. Cabinet officials are also expected to make stops around the country in the coming weeks to encourage people to sign up for insurance even as the website problems persist.

The study was published in the journal Health Affairs.

(TM and © Copyright 2013 CBS Radio Inc. and its relevant subsidiaries. CBS RADIO and EYE Logo TM and Copyright 2013 CBS Broadcasting Inc. Used under license. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.)

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