by Chris Lingebach

WASHINGTON (CBSDC) – When selecting NCAA Tournament upsets before your bracket inevitably ends up busted, it’s important to soak up as much information as possible from the experts, before throwing it all away and going with your gut.

One of the best, a prime time figure on CBS’s Selection Sunday show, is NCAA basketball analyst Seth Davis. Also a longtime guest of The Junkies, Davis joined the middle-aged men Wednesday to share his intimate wisdom into why he selected the upsets he did in his bracket.

“I try not to be too indiscriminate about it and I’m not just firing blanks,” Davis told the Junkies on 106.7 The Fan. “Stuff pops out at me when I get the bracket. I take literally four minutes to fill out my bracket all the way through to get ready for that show.”

Below are the upsets Seth Davis chose along with his reasoning.

Related: That March Madness Guy Everyone Hates

We’ve also added a little bit of info about the teams so you can sound smart around your friends:

Upset: #11 Belmont over #6 Arizona

“The first one that jumped out to me was Belmont to beat Arizona because they are ranked dead last, think about this in the Pac-12, in three-point defense. And Belmont is one of those four-out, one-in teams where all they do is drive-and-kick and shoot threes. So to me, Sean Miller is going to have to sacrifice some size in this game, which is his advantage, because he’s going to have to chase those guys out on the three-point line.”

Belmont (Nashville, TN) – Overall: 26-6, Ohio Valley: 14-2, Top 25: 0-1, Streak: W6

Arizona – Overall: 25-7, Pac-12: 12-6, Top 25: 2-1, Streak: L1

Upset: #11 Bucknell over #6 Butler

“Obviously you have to be not bright to pick against Brad Stevens in the NCAA tournament, and no one would describe me as the sharpest knife in the drawer. I looked at a #6, #11 game and I see the #11 seed is going to have the best player in the game. When do you ever see that? Their center, Mike Muscala is a 6’11” senior – been among the nation’s leaders all season in scoring and rebounding – and they will control tempo. They played at Missouri when Missouri was at full strength and only lost by two. So the winning team in that game is probably going to have 59 points.”

Bucknell (Lewisburg, PA) – Overall: 28-5, Patriot: 12-2, Top 25: 0-1, Streak: W7

Butler (Indianapolis, IN) – Overall: 26-8, Atlantic 10: 11-5, Top 25: 3-1, Streak: L1

 Upset: #13 Montana over #4 Syracuse

“And then the wacky one, I like to look at the #4, #13 lines. And I was probably over-influenced by the fact that the night before I sat courtside at Madison Square Garden and watched Louisville absolutely disembowel Syracuse. There was no counter. It’s not like it was a sudden burst. It was just a steady, 18-minute complete domination and the Syracuse kids were arguing with each other. I mean, I’m sitting there watching this thinking this team, if they get in a tight spot in the tournament, they could unravel.  And Montana’s had a great year. Now they lost their leading scorer mid-February, but they still won their league tournament, they went 19-1 in the Big Sky, they’re a good team, and they’ve got the tournament experience.”

Montana (Montana) – Overall: 25-6, Big Sky: 19-1, Top 25: 0-0, Streak: W6

Syracuse – Overall: 26-9, Big East: 11-7, Top 25: 6-5, Streak: L1

Related: Not Too Late To Fill Out A Bracket

Follow Seth Davis on Twitter.


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